Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.099935 0.155497 0.221212 0.302009 0.396411 0.501337 0.625051
2025-12-14 0.027949 0.083681 0.168085 0.288456 0.444105 0.630040 0.861668
2025-12-21 0.010804 0.064054 0.162128 0.314832 0.522570 0.778876 1.105528
2025-12-28 0.002938 0.050578 0.159195 0.341537 0.599468 0.925217 1.346984
2026-01-04 0.000056 0.037202 0.150263 0.355486 0.656643 1.044995 1.554747
2026-01-11 NaN 0.033004 0.156645 0.391721 0.743714 1.202653 1.809333
2026-01-18 NaN 0.027425 0.157634 0.418185 0.816595 1.341882 2.041179
2026-01-25 NaN 0.018422 0.145923 0.421474 0.855346 1.436080 2.216453
2026-02-01 NaN 0.007333 0.117794 0.391609 0.843148 1.461384 2.303608
2026-02-08 NaN 0.001051 0.088635 0.352955 0.813711 1.460879 2.355770
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000003 0.074811 0.340696 0.822452 1.510565 2.471185
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.070452 0.347558 0.860831 1.600747 2.639013
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.061197 0.342866 0.882412 1.670843 2.785480
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.048455 0.326411 0.883682 1.712477 2.895343
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.052804 0.355081 0.960861 1.861659 3.147181
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.056978 0.383390 1.037635 2.010556 3.399045
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.056350 0.398261 1.091554 2.127014 3.608152
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.064053 0.436709 1.185981 2.301524 3.894548
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.068039 0.464740 1.262704 2.450936 4.147908
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.063417 0.468219 1.297370 2.540362 4.321859
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.047966 0.436593 1.270018 2.540088 4.376031
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.032112 0.395562 1.222902 2.509278 4.387903
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.025455 0.382524 1.224494 2.548441 4.492826